Operating business14% entry signalMarket screen5 sourced figuresStructure decidesentry cost + regulatory drag

Federal Employment & Immigration Services

SoftwareTypically runs on Government procurement — long cycles, security clearance and incumbent integrators. · no software market screened here yet — the industry page
Prepared 2026-09-19

The industry — Federal labour, employment and immigration services

Base industry report for 9113 →
Establishments · CanadaA
30
with employees
Under 10 employeesA
50%
most common size: 1–4

Of 30 Canadian establishments with employees, 50% have fewer than ten — mostly small operators.

Entry signal — what decides who wins here

Structure decides
Structure decides One thing must be true Execution decides

The binding constraint is not executional. Being better than the incumbent does not, by itself, get you in — this one is cleared with capital, an asset, or a permission.

What you would have to beat

Raise or borrow the entry ticket, or buy an operator who has already paid it. The barrier is money rather than permission, so it yields to a balance sheet — and an acquisition is usually cheaper than a start.

How it was read
Binding constraintUNVERIFIEDentry cost + regulatory drag — Capital — being better does not, by itself, clear it.
How fragmented the field isA50% of establishments have fewer than ten employees — Concentrated — a new entrant competes against establishments with real scale.
What it costs to be in the businessUNVERIFIEDhigh capital — The structural profile of subsector 911, inherited by every industry beneath it.

This is not a probability of success, and it is not a verdict on you. No survival probability is published per market, and inventing one would be worse than saying so. What the bar reads is how much of the outcome sits inside an operator's control: green means the hurdles are ones a better operator clears, red means the binding constraint is capital, an asset or a permission rather than execution. Someone arriving with an advantage this screen did not assume can win a market shown in red.

Companies named in this market · 5

The binding constraint — entry cost + regulatory drag

Employment and Social Development Canada's service delivery and Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada: 30 establishments, 11 of them employing a hundred or more [A]. Two departments, in other words. This is a buyer, not a market to enter: the activity is a function of government, carried out under statute by public servants, and no licence, acquisition or amount of capital lets a private entrant perform it. The adjacent private markets are real and sit outside this code — regulated immigration consultants and lawyers (5411), settlement agencies funded by contribution agreements (6241), and employment-services contractors (5613). Selling technology to the departments themselves means competing for a small number of very large, multi-year transformation contracts that go to global integrators. The cut factor is recorded as entry cost and regulatory drag because that is the nearest the screening model comes to 'not available to private parties' — the barrier is not high, it is absolute, and everything interesting is in what gets sold across it.

Market scalenational

The relevant geography is that of the buyer: one federal department's national procurement. A supplier competes for that buyer's contracts under that buyer's rules, and a win in one jurisdiction does not carry to the next without a fresh qualification.

Canadian establishments with employeesA 30 (Statistics Canada, December 2023) — 50% have fewer than ten employees; 11 employ 100 or more
What the count measuresUNVERIFIED Government offices, detachments and agencies reporting as employers — not firms, and not a population an entrant could join
When open tendering is triggeredA CFTA thresholds for federal departments of $34,700 (goods) and $139,000 (services); CETA and WTO-GPA at $239,200 — 1 January 2026 to 31 December 2027 (Treasury Board Contracting Policy Notice 2025-8)
How incumbency worksUNVERIFIED Above those thresholds work is competed, but through standing offers and supply arrangements a vendor must qualify for before bidding; prior references weigh heavily
I

Who you would be competing with

The operators already at scale here, and whoever is buying these businesses. In most of these industries the competition an entrant meets is local, so this is who sets the terms rather than a list of everyone in the trade.

Largest operator
CGI (TSX: GIB.A) — Montreal, and the one firm on this bench that is Canadian, listed, and discloses what it is
Scale
FY2025 revenue $15,912.7M, up 8.4% (4.6% in constant currency); bookings $17.57B for a book-to-bill of 110.4%; Canada operating segment revenue $2,090.7M
Concentration
Not published. CGI does not break out federal-government revenue in the release and MD&A read for this record, and no series publishes vendor shares of Canadian federal IT spending.
Others in the field
IBM Canada, Accenture and Deloitte on the same transformation work. Maximus (NYSE: MMS) is the different animal on the bench: it does not build the system, it runs the programme — benefits administration, eligibility and employment services delivered as an outsourced service to governments, with an Outside the U.S. segment of $599.9M in FY2025, down 8.7%. Under all of them sit the professional-services and temporary-help suppliers who staff these programmes by the day through federal supply arrangements, which is the only tier of this market an entrant can realistically reach.
Lock-in mechanism
Extreme, and structural rather than contractual: a benefits or immigration case system holds statutory records for millions of people, and a replacement is a multi-year programme with a ministerial risk attached. Stated as judgment; not measured here.
Price movement
Not assessed.
Is the buyer consolidating?
No — There are two departments. The buyer is not consolidating because it is already as concentrated as a buyer gets — which is the specific difficulty of this code: not that the customers are being bought up, but that there are only ever two of them, and both of them already have a supplier.
F

Financials & market size — sourced

Figures that came from a filing, a results release or reputable reporting, each carrying its evidence tier.

CGI revenue, FY2025A $15,912.7M, up 8.4% year over year (4.6% in constant currency)
CGI Canada operating segment revenue, FY2025A $2,090.7M
CGI bookings, FY2025A $17.57B, a book-to-bill ratio of 110.4%
Maximus revenue, FY2025A $5.43B total, up 2.4%; U.S. Federal Services $3.07B (+12.1%), U.S. Services $1.76B (−7.7%), Outside the U.S. $599.9M (−8.7%)
What the numbers say about entryUNVERIFIED The smallest disclosed unit on this bench — Maximus's entire non-US government-services segment — is $599.9M across several countries. A first contract here is not a small contract
V

The field

Every operator named on this record, and what each one discloses. A private single-site operator discloses nothing, which is the normal case — the listed consolidators are the only window in.

Competitor set · 4 named · 0 disclose revenue

NameRevenueShareNote
CGITSX: GIB.AA not disclosed — FY2025 revenue $15,912.7M, Canada segment $2,090.7M, bookings $17.57B at 110.4% book-to-bill. Revenue is not scored as this market's floor — none of it is broken out as Canadian federal work, and treating the total as this market's size would be exactly the error this research warns about.
MaximusNYSE: MMSA not disclosed — FY2025 revenue $5.43B, with an Outside the U.S. segment of $599.9M, down 8.7%. The segment is company-wide non-US and Maximus does not break out Canada inside it, so it sizes the outsourced-programme business generally and not this buyer.
IBM Canada / Accenture / DeloitteC not disclosed — The rest of the transformation bench. Not researched for this record; named because departmental delivery history, not price, is what decides these awards.
Professional-services and temporary-help suppliersUNVERIFIED not disclosed — The tier an entrant can actually reach: staffing these programmes by the day through federal supply arrangements, at rates set by the arrangement rather than negotiated. A business, but a labour-arbitrage one — and the reason this record cuts rather than encourages.

Nobody here publishes revenue. The market is not sized for that reason — an estimate built on nothing would only look like knowledge.

Evidence

Evidence. The establishment count and its size bands are Statistics Canada, December 2023 [A]. The trade-agreement thresholds are read from Treasury Board Contracting Policy Notice 2025-8 [A], which covers federal entities only. The competitive field was researched for this pass. CGI's fiscal 2025 figures come from its own results release and the fiscal 2025 fourth-quarter MD&A filed on SEDAR and with the SEC [A]: revenue $15,912.7M, bookings $17.57B, Canada segment $2,090.7M. One thing was checked and not used — a secondary source gave a 38% government share of CGI's revenue; neither the results release nor the MD&A states any breakdown by client vertical, so the figure is left off the record. Maximus's fiscal 2025 total and its three segment revenues are read from its own fourth-quarter release [A]; the Outside the U.S. segment is company-wide non-US and Canada is not broken out within it, which is stated in the competitor note rather than glossed. No vendor's revenue is treated as this market's floor: none of these disclosures measures Canadian federal spending, and no series that does was found. Nothing was sourced for the activity itself, because it is not sold: the characterisation of what the count measures, and of how incumbency works inside those rules, is analyst judgment — UNVERIFIED. No US figure is attached because County Business Patterns excludes public administration. The 9111 and 912110 software records carry the rest of the sourced material on selling to government, and the 9111 record is built on the US certification regime rather than the Canadian one.

#

Where the industry talks

The associations, forums and events where people in this trade actually talk shop — where to listen before entering, and where the first customers are found. Each link was opened on the date shown.

AssociationCanadaA
Canada Employment and Immigration Union
ceiu-seic.ca

PSAC component for ESDC/Service Canada and IRCC staff; the union of the people who actually run these two departments.

Checked 2026-09-22
AssociationCanadaA
Canadian Association of Professional Immigration Consultants
capic.ca

Association of licensed immigration consultants; continuing-education seminars and the National Citizenship and Immigration Conference.

Checked 2026-09-22
AssociationCanadaA
Canadian Immigration Lawyers Association
cila.co

Membership body of immigration lawyers, academics and students; research and submissions on IRCC policy.

Checked 2026-09-22
AssociationCanadaA
Canadian Council for Refugees
ccrweb.ca

Coalition of settlement and refugee-serving organisations; the main civil-society counterpart to IRCC, active through September 2026.

Checked 2026-09-22
AssociationCanadaA
CERIC
ceric.ca

Career development charity; runs Canada's Career Development Conference (Cannexus), where employment services practitioners meet.

Checked 2026-09-22
PublicationCanadaA
CIC News
cicnews.com

Daily Canadian immigration news site covering IRCC programs and policy changes.

Checked 2026-09-22

cccd.ca is the Canadian Center for Cultural Diplomacy, not a career development body, and was not used; the College of Immigration and Citizenship Consultants site blocks automated access and is a regulator rather than a community.