Operating business68% entry signalMarket screen5 sourced figuresExecution decidesdefensibility

Commercial & Industrial Equipment Repair

Prepared 2026-09-09

The industry — Commercial and industrial machinery and equipment (except automotive and electronic) repair and maintenance

Base industry report for 811310 →
Establishments · CanadaA
7,105
with employees
Under 10 employeesA
80%
most common size: 1–4
Establishments · USA
22,433
Employment · USA
209,190
9.3 per establishment
Payroll · USA
$14.6B
$70k per employee

Of 7,105 Canadian establishments with employees, 80% have fewer than ten — an industry of very small operators.

Entry signal — what decides who wins here

Execution decides
Structure decides One thing must be true Execution decides

The hurdles here are ones a better operator clears. That is not a promise of success — it is the absence of a structural reason you cannot win.

What you would have to beat

Find something that compounds. Entry is achievable and so is the first customer; what is missing is a reason the next entrant cannot repeat it as easily as you did.

How it was read
Binding constraintUNVERIFIEDdefensibility — Executional — a better operator can move it.
How fragmented the field isA80% of establishments have fewer than ten employees — Fragmented — there is share to take and no scale operator to displace.
What it costs to be in the businessUNVERIFIEDmedium capital — The structural profile of subsector 811, inherited by every industry beneath it.
How many new establishments are still tradingA
Other Services (except Public Administration), US · opened 2020
85.2%
1 year
71.8%
3 years
60%
5 years
42.1%
10 years
opened 2015

Measured, not forecast: the share of US establishments opening in one year that were still active later. It counts good operators and bad ones together, which is exactly why it is the honest answer to “what are the odds”. It is for the whole sector rather than this market, and the ten-year figure comes from an older cohort because no younger one has reached ten years.

This is not a probability of success, and it is not a verdict on you. No survival probability is published per market, and inventing one would be worse than saying so. What the bar reads is how much of the outcome sits inside an operator's control: green means the hurdles are ones a better operator clears, red means the binding constraint is capital, an asset or a permission rather than execution. Someone arriving with an advantage this screen did not assume can win a market shown in red.

Companies named in this market · 3

The binding constraint — defensibility

The classic overlooked business: recurring, essential, and priced on response time. Its weakness is that the value sits in individual technicians who can leave and take the accounts, and manufacturers increasingly restrict diagnostic software and parts to authorised servicers — a right-to-repair fight the independent has not yet won. A service business that cannot get parts is a labour broker.

Market scalelocalunit: one service radius, priced on response time

The product is how fast a technician arrives when a machine stops, which makes distance the whole business. Sized by the response radius.

Handle — Finning's product support line. Finning reports product support separately from equipment sales, which is rare and exactly the split this industry turns on. It shows what the service half of a dealership is worth when it is attached to the machine population it serves. An independent shop is competing for that revenue without the machine population, the parts network or the warranty relationship — which is the whole of the defensibility argument in one comparison.

Finning International product support revenue, FY2025A $5,934M, up 8% from $5,480M — 56% of Finning's $10,591M total revenue (Q4 and annual 2025 earnings release, 10 February 2026)
Finning new equipment sales, FY2025A $3,863M — the aftermarket is 1.5 times the machine sales that create it
Canadian establishments with employeesA 7,105 (Statistics Canada, December 2023) — 4,334 employ one to four people, the largest band tops out at 200–499, and Alberta alone holds 2,231
US establishments, employment and payrollA 22,433 establishments; 209,190 employees; $14.59B payroll — about $69,700 per employee (US County Business Patterns, 2022)
National addressable figureUNVERIFIED Not stated — this market is a set of unconnected local ones
I

Who you would be competing with

The operators already at scale here, and whoever is buying these businesses. In most of these industries the competition an entrant meets is local, so this is who sets the terms rather than a list of everyone in the trade.

Largest operator
The authorised dealer service departments — in Canada, Finning International (TSX: FTT), the Caterpillar dealer for western Canada, Chile and the UK & Ireland
Scale
Finning's FY2025 product support revenue was $5,934M, up 8%, against $3,863M of new equipment sales; total revenue $10,591M with Canadian operations at $5,151M. Equipment backlog closed 2025 at $3.1B, which is next year's service population
Concentration
Not published for the repair industry. What is published is that at one dealer, service and parts are 56% of revenue — the aftermarket is the business, not a trailing line
Others in the field
Toromont Industries (TSX: TIH) and Wajax (TSX: WJX) on the dealer side, OEM-authorised service networks across every equipment category, and 4,334 Canadian establishments employing one to four people
Lock-in mechanism
Not assessed — screened before diligence. The dealer's lock is the parts network, the warranty obligation and the machine population it sold
Price movement
Not assessed at the shop level. Finning noted lower product support gross profit margins in 2025 even as product support revenue grew 8%
Is the buyer consolidating?
Yes — The dealers are the consolidators here, and they buy service capacity to defend the machines they sold rather than to enter a new market. An independent shop's most likely acquirer is therefore the dealer whose brand it services, which caps the price and makes the value of the business a function of a relationship it does not control.
F

Financials & market size — sourced

Figures that came from a filing, a results release or reputable reporting, each carrying its evidence tier.

Finning product support revenue, FY2025A $5,934M, +8% (2024: $5,480M)
Finning total revenue, FY2025A $10,591M, +7% (2024: $9,903M)
Product support as a share of Finning revenueA 56% — $5,934M of $10,591M
Finning new equipment sales, FY2025A $3,863M, +7%
Canadian establishments at one to four employeesA 4,334 of 7,105
$

Market size, derived

Built from the competitor set upward rather than quoted from a forecast. Published TAMs in these categories are frequently reverse-engineered from each other, so any published figure is checked against the vendor arithmetic rather than trusted on its own.

Revenue floor
$5.9B

Disclosed revenue from 1 of 4 named vendors. The market is at least this large.

Implied total — revenue ÷ share
—

No vendor has both a disclosed revenue and a published share.

Published forecast
—Floor only

Only a revenue floor is known — the true market is larger by whatever the undisclosed vendors earn.

Competitor set · 4 named · 1 disclose revenue

NameRevenueShareNote
Finning InternationalTSX: FTTA $5.9B — FY2025 product support revenue (parts and service), 8% above 2024
Toromont IndustriesTSX: TIHC not disclosed — Caterpillar dealer for central and eastern Canada with its own product support line; its figures were not opened for this record.
WajaxTSX: WJXC not disclosed — Multi-line Canadian industrial distributor and servicer; not researched for this record.
The independent single-shop majorityA not disclosed — 4,334 of 7,105 Canadian establishments employ one to four people, and none employ 500 or more. No revenue is published for any of them.

Evidence

Evidence. Finning's FY2025 figures were read in the company's own Q4 and annual 2025 earnings release of 10 February 2026 [A] — the revenue-by-line-of-business table, not the headline bullets. This matters: a search summary of the same release reported product support revenue as $1.5B, which is the fourth-quarter figure; the twelve-month figure is $5,934M, and new equipment likewise is $3,863M for the year against $1,000M in the quarter. The percentages here are arithmetic on the annual column. Finning is a Caterpillar dealer, so its product support line measures dealer-attached service, which is the thing an independent competes with and NOT a measure of the independent trade itself — no revenue series for independent industrial repair shops was found. Toromont and Wajax are named without figures because their filings were not opened. Establishment counts are Statistics Canada (December 2023) and US County Business Patterns (2022) [A]. The cut — that value walks out with the technician and that parts access is granted rather than bought — is analyst judgment: UNVERIFIED.

#

Where the industry talks

The associations, forums and events where people in this trade actually talk shop — where to listen before entering, and where the first customers are found. Each link was opened on the date shown.

AssociationNorth AmericaA
Associated Equipment Distributors (AED)
aednet.org

Trade association for equipment distributors and their service departments; lobbies in Washington and Ottawa (Parliament Hill Day, Nov 2026). No member count stated.

Checked 2026-09-22
AssociationCanadaA
PEMAC Asset Management Association of Canada
pemac.org

Not-for-profit for maintenance and asset-management professionals, i.e. the plant-side customers of industrial repair shops. Cites 400 CAMP certifications issued; no member count stated.

Checked 2026-09-22
ForumInternationalC
Heavy Equipment Forums
heavyequipmentforums.com

Independent board where operators and mechanics discuss repairs by machine type; blocked automated access (403). Search results show the live site and its sections.

Checked 2026-09-22
EventNorth AmericaA
CONEXPO-CON/AGG
conexpoconagg.com

Largest construction-equipment show in North America, every three years; next edition 13-17 Mar 2029, Las Vegas, per its homepage.

Checked 2026-09-22

There is no association for independent repair shops as such; dealers talk at AED and the customers at PEMAC, while technicians talk on machine-specific forums. MRO Magazine (Canadian maintenance trade title) was unreachable on two attempts and is not listed.